What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Columbia” next time?

53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Columbia”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Columbia” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Columbia” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

53%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 07:05 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Columbia

Probability: 53% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…here in New York City. In 1931, in a basement uptown at Columbia University, chemist Harold Urey made the Nobel Prize-winning discovery of deuterium, an…