What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Brooklyn” next time?

46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Brooklyn”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Brooklyn” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Brooklyn” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 13:34 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Brooklyn

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…have the one and only public advocate, Jumaane Williams. We have the Brooklyn Borough president, Antonio Reynoso. We have the City councilwoman of this district,…

Linda G. Mills, President, New York UniversityotherMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…existing strengths throughout the city, including the Tandon School of Engineering in Brooklyn, the Courant School of Mathematics, Data Science and Computing, and joining our…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…it, if you think that there should be a memorial erected in Brooklyn that's been proposed to memorialize the people who lost their lives that…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.