What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Adams” next time?

53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Adams”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Adams” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Adams” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 6, 2025.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Nov 5, 2025
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 16:23 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Adams

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 press conferences: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

Now, as I've reported, there was a deal that the Adams administration put together late last year. It fell apart in the summer, and you've…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…five years ago, I attended a similar press conference with former Mayor Adams and Brad Lander, where they joined and talked about how they were…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.