Will Ted Cruz say “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ted Cruz
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…a disaster. It is illegal. And the president is obligated under the Constitution to come to Congress and ask for an authorization of military force.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Ted Cruz say “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/constitution-or-constitutional-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP