Will Ted Cruz say “Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Border” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Mar 1, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ted Cruz
Border
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Fears of an extended conflict beyond Iran's borders are only growing following the killing of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. (SHOUTING)
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Border |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Ted Cruz say “Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ted Cruz said “Border” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Ted Cruz says “Border” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ted Cruz: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ted-cruz/words/border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ted-cruz&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ted-cruz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP