Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Trump” 3+ times at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 69% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…marks a decisive change in federal nutrition policy made possible by President Trump's leadership and the work of MAHA moms and public health advocates who…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Trump” 3+ times at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP