Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Transgender”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Transgender” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 28, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Transgender
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…took strong action to bar hospitals from performing dangerous, irreversible, life-altering transgender procedures on children. The Trump administration announced funding awards to states…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Transgender |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Transgender”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Transgender” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Transgender” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Transgender’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/transgender (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=transgender · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP