Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Sugar”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Sugar” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceRobert F. Kennedy Jr.
Sugar
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…risk more effectively than many drugs. Whole grains outperform refined carbohydrates. Added sugars, especially sugar sweetened beverages, drive metabolic disease. And today, our government…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shownQuestions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Sugar”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Sugar” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Sugar” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Sugar’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/sugar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=sugar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP