Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Pharmaceutical / Pharma”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Pharmaceutical / Pharma” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Pharmaceutical / Pharma
- Probability
- 64% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Pharmaceutical / Pharma |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pharmaceutical / Pharma | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Pharmaceutical / Pharma | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Pharmaceutical / Pharma”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Pharmaceutical / Pharma” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Pharmaceutical / Pharma” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Pharmaceutical / Pharma’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/pharma-or-pharmaceutical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=pharma%20%2F%20pharmaceutical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP