Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Obese / Obesity”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Obese / Obesity” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

46%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=obese%20%2F%20obesity

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Obese / Obesity

Probability
46% · n=8
Settled
4/8 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guest23:57In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guest24:23In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · settled no

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What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · settled yes

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiYes–
Aug 29, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiYes3
Apr 21, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiNo–
Apr 16, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiNo–
Apr 2, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiNo–
Mar 28, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiNo–
Mar 6, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiYes–
Feb 16, 2026Obese / ObesityKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Obese / Obesity”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Obese / Obesity” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Obese / Obesity” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Obese / Obesity’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/obese-or-obesity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=obese%20%2F%20obesity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP