Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Medicare / Medicaid” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 21, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Medicare / Medicaid
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…levels, we would save approximately $600 billion a year. About 50% of Medicare's projected long-term deficit or $5,000 per family annually. Current policy worsens the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Medicare / Medicaid |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Medicare / Medicaid” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Medicare / Medicaid” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Medicare / Medicaid’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/medicaid-or-medicare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=medicaid%20%2F%20medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP