Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Fraud”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Fraud” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

67%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Fraud

Probability
67% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Brooke RollinsotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 29:18In transcript

The amount of fraud in all of these programs is absolutely stunning. And the challenge is, I mean, for Medicaid, et cetera, I know Dr.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · not said

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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · not listed

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 29, 2026FraudKalshiNo0
Apr 21, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026FraudKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Fraud” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Fraud” next time?
67%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP