Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Fentanyl / Opioid”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Fentanyl / Opioid” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Fentanyl / Opioid
- Probability
- 46% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fentanyl / Opioid |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Fentanyl / Opioid | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Fentanyl / Opioid”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Fentanyl / Opioid” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Fentanyl / Opioid” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Fentanyl / Opioid’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/fentanyl-or-opioid (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=fentanyl%20%2F%20opioid · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP