Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Election”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Election” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 21, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Election
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…There are Republicans and Democrats alike that say they want to see elections in Venezuela. The president has said it's too soon to do that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Election |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Election”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Election” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Election” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP