What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “CDC / NIH” next time?

62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “CDC / NIH”?

Name: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: “CDC / NIH” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “CDC / NIH” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 04:07 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

CDC / NIH

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts: said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestSaturday in America (Fox News), August 29, 2026 · Aug 29, 2026 · 22:09In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.otherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 10:21In transcript

…Dr. Marty Makary to fund and prioritize rigorous nutrition research at the NIH and at the FDA. The stakes are measurable and severe. A Johns…

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Apr 21, 2026	CDC / NIH	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “CDC / NIH”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “CDC / NIH” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “CDC / NIH” next time?: 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘CDC / NIH’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/cdc-or-nih (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=cdc%20%2F%20nih · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP