Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “FDA / CDC”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “FDA / CDC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
FDA / CDC
- Probability
- 64% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…fund and prioritize rigorous nutrition research at the NIH and at the FDA. The stakes are measurable and severe. A Johns Hopkins analysis estimates that…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “FDA / CDC”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “FDA / CDC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “FDA / CDC” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘FDA / CDC’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/cdc-or-fda (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=cdc%20%2F%20fda · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP