Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Autism / Autistic”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Autism / Autistic” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

35%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=autism%20%2F%20autistic

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Autism / Autistic

Probability
35% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled no

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What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guest16:10In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · settled no

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · not listed

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiNo–
Aug 29, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiYes1
Apr 21, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiNo–
Apr 2, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiNo–
Mar 6, 2026Autism / AutisticKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Autism / Autistic”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Autism / Autistic” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 29, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Autism / Autistic” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Autism / Autistic’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/autism-or-autistic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=autism%20%2F%20autistic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP