Will Kristi Noem say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Trump” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…murderer off the streets of Minneapolis, the public is safer. And President Trump is keeping his promise to the American people. And we literally have…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Trump” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP