Will Kristi Noem say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
Terrorist / Terrorism
- Probability
- 69% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are here. When you have millions of people coming in that are terrorists, suspected terrorists, criminals, come from countries in the mass migration that the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP