Will Kristi Noem say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem did not say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kristi Noem

Somali / Somalia / Somalian

Probability
40% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jacob FreyguestFace the Nation (CBS), January 18, 2026 · Jan 18, 2026In transcript

What this is about is coming into our city by the thousands and terrorizing people simply because they're Latino or Somali.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Kristi Noem say during her Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during the hearing on Homeland Security? · settled no

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What will Kristi Noem say during the Oversight hearing on Homeland Security? · settled no

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What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during Face the Nation? · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 4, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo–
Mar 3, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo–
Jan 19, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Kristi Noem say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem did not say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026.
What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Somali / Somalia / Somalian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP