Will Kristi Noem say “Sanctuary”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Sanctuary” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
Sanctuary
- Probability
- 67% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Well, they argue, the administration, that is, that this is a sanctuary county and a sanctuary city, and they are enforcing federal immigration law, and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “Sanctuary”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Sanctuary” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Sanctuary” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Sanctuary’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/sanctuary (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=sanctuary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP