Will Kristi Noem say “ID / Identification”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem said “ID / Identification” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 13, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
ID / Identification
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | ID / Identification |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “ID / Identification”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem said “ID / Identification” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “ID / Identification” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘ID / Identification’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/id-or-identification (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=id%20%2F%20identification · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP