Will Kristi Noem say “FBI”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem did not say “FBI” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
FBI
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…said off the street. We have worked with the DEA and the FBI. We have worked with the ATF and the U.S. attorney's office to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | FBI |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “FBI”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kristi Noem did not say “FBI” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “FBI” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘FBI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/fbi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=fbi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP