Will Kristi Noem say “Border”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Border” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
Border
- Probability
- 58% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we wouldn't be in this situation if Joe Biden hadn't allowed our open-border policies to be in place and allowed up to 20 million people…
…the city of Minneapolis, and we're talking about 3,000-plus ICE agents and border control that have come in. They're not making our city safer. In…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “Border”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Border” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Border” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP