Will Kash Patel say “Weaponization / Weaponized”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Weaponization / Weaponized” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2026.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kash Patel

Weaponization / Weaponized

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Kash Patel say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel & Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the FBI budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the hearing on Worldwide Threats? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate hearing on worldwide threats? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox Interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 15, 2026Weaponization / WeaponizedKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kash Patel say “Weaponization / Weaponized”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Weaponization / Weaponized” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 15, 2026.
What is the probability Kash Patel says “Weaponization / Weaponized” next time?
58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Weaponization / Weaponized’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/weaponization-or-weaponized (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=weaponization%20%2F%20weaponized · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP