Will Kash Patel say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kash Patel said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
Terrorist / Terrorism
- Probability
- 71% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…matters, as you know. As for the Trump administration's position on our narco-terrorist campaign in the Caribbean, it is going to continue. And the president…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 12, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kash Patel said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP