Will Kash Patel say “Taxpayer”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Taxpayer” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

53%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kash Patel

Taxpayer

Probability
53% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kash PatelguestSaturday in America (Fox News), September 19, 2026 · Sep 19, 2026 · 33:04In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Nov. 12, 2025 · Nov 12, 2025 · 9:03In transcript

…partisan politics. They started this shutdown with a ridiculous demand to force taxpayer funded healthcare benefits to illegal aliens who broke into our country. Even…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Kash Patel say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel & Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during the FBI budget hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during his press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during the hearing on Worldwide Threats? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during the Senate hearing on worldwide threats? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kash Patel say during his Fox Interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 15, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026TaxpayerKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kash Patel say “Taxpayer”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Taxpayer” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
What is the probability Kash Patel says “Taxpayer” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Taxpayer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/taxpayer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=taxpayer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP