Will Kash Patel say “Secret Service”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Secret Service” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 12, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
Secret Service
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Secret Service |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Secret Service”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Secret Service” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Secret Service” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Secret Service’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/secret-service (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=secret%20service · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP