Will Kash Patel say “Mexico / Mexican”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel said “Mexico / Mexican” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
Mexico / Mexican
- Probability
- 55% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…suffocate the drug trafficking organizations' ability to manufacture fentanyl in places like Mexico. This was the first time an FBI director has been to China…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Mexico / Mexican |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Mexico / Mexican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Mexico / Mexican | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Mexico / Mexican”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel said “Mexico / Mexican” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Mexico / Mexican” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Mexico / Mexican’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/mexican-or-mexico (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=mexican%20%2F%20mexico · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP