Will Kash Patel say “Israel / Israeli”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Israel / Israeli” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 12, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
Israel / Israeli
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
And on the Middle East, Karoline, there's been reports in Israeli media that the US is considering building a temporary military base on the Gaza…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Israel / Israeli |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Israel / Israeli”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Israel / Israeli” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Israel / Israeli” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP