Will Kash Patel say “ISIS”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “ISIS” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
ISIS
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kash Patel say “ISIS”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “ISIS” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “ISIS” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘ISIS’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/isis (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=isis · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP