Will Kash Patel say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

59%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kash Patel

Iran / Iranian

Probability
59% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Kash Patel say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel & Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · settled no

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What will Kash Patel say during the FBI budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Kash Patel say during the hearing on Worldwide Threats? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate hearing on worldwide threats? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox Interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 15, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kash Patel say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kash Patel said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
What is the probability Kash Patel says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP