Will Kash Patel say “Fentanyl”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Fentanyl” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

71%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=fentanyl

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kash Patel

Fentanyl

Probability
71% · n=6
Settled
5/6 (83%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kash PatelspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Nov. 12, 2025 · Nov 12, 2025 · 2:21In transcript

…took office, he issued a mandate to rid America of the scourge that is fentanyl, a drug that has killed hundreds of thousands of Americans.

What will Kash Patel say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not said

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel & Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel say during the FBI budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kash Patel say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during the hearing on Worldwide Threats? · settled yes

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What will Kash Patel say during the Senate hearing on worldwide threats? · settled yes

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Kash Patel say during his Fox Interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 19, 2026FentanylKalshiNo0
Sep 15, 2026FentanylKalshiYes–
Jun 4, 2026FentanylKalshiYes–
May 12, 2026FentanylKalshiYes–
Mar 19, 2026FentanylKalshiYes–
Mar 18, 2026FentanylKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Kash Patel say “Fentanyl”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Fentanyl” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
What is the probability Kash Patel says “Fentanyl” next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Fentanyl’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/fentanyl (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=fentanyl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP