Will Kash Patel say “Epstein”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Epstein” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (29%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKash Patel
Epstein
- Probability
- 46% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Thank you, Karoline. I have your statement about the new Epstein emails that have been released by House Democrats. Separate from why you believe the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shownQuestions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Epstein”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Epstein” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (29%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Epstein” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP