Will Kash Patel say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Democrat” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kash Patel
Democrat
- Probability
- 29% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Democrat”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “Democrat” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Democrat” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP