Will Kash Patel say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Corrupt / Corruption” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKash Patel
Corrupt / Corruption
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…dog." And he has said that the Trump administration is "The most corrupt in American history." Does the White House have a comment on this…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel did not say “Corrupt / Corruption” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “Corrupt / Corruption” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP