Will Kash Patel say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (57%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Nov 12, 2025 – Sep 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKash Patel
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 57% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 33 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Jun 4, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| May 12, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Kash Patel say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kash Patel said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (57%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Kash Patel says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kash Patel: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kash-patel/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kash-patel&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kash-patel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP