Will Jared Isaacman say “Nuclear”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Nuclear” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

52%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Nuclear

Probability
52% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…presence, the build the moon base and do other exciting things like nuclear power and propulsion. And we got $10 billion worth of resources out…

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…base and do all the other things like launching the first interplanetary nuclear powered spacecraft in 2028 that's going to go past Mars, release a…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026NuclearKalshiNo0
Jun 30, 2026NuclearKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026NuclearKalshiNo–
Apr 11, 2026NuclearKalshiNo–
Apr 5, 2026NuclearKalshiYes2

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Nuclear” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Nuclear” next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP