Face the Nation (CBS), April 5, 2026
On the Apr 5, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Moon Base / Lunar Base | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Discover / Discovery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eclipse | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Houston | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mark / Kelly | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radiation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX / Elon | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Toilet | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
5 matches for “Nuclear”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…not because while there is a -- there was a threat with nuclear arms, it's a -- it's compensating for a threat before the threat…
…He has not really explained how he's going to deal with the nuclear material and near bomb grade material. He said that was a reason…
Are we -- can we leave nuclear material there? What are they going to say about the priorities of a president who has not emphasized…
…presence, the build the moon base and do other exciting things like nuclear power and propulsion. And we got $10 billion worth of resources out…
…base and do all the other things like launching the first interplanetary nuclear powered spacecraft in 2028 that's going to go past Mars, release a…
Where the listed words were said
…gather data from the ECLIS system, the life support system on the Orion spacecraft. This is the first time we've ever had humans on board…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP