Face the Nation (CBS), July 5, 2026
On the Jul 5, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemis 3 | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blue Origin | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Apollo | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 9 | ✓ | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Budget | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crater | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Houston | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alien | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
3 matches for “Mars”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…Space Station, from Hubble and other universe-probing satellites to robotic explorers on Mars, along the way, moments when the human cost was unthinkable, Challenger in…
…near constantly, on a near monthly cadence in 2027 to build the moon base, so we have that enduring presence, that proving ground for Mars.
…Station. You're going to have crews that are there on pretty extended periods of time, as we learn in that environment and prepare for Mars.
Where the listed words were said
…Working Family Tax Cut Act. That's what allowed us to add the Artemis III mission next year. So we are going back. It will be…
…the three most powerful rockets in the world, NASA's SLS, SpaceX's Starship, Blue Origin's New Glenn. And then you're going to have the landers come…
…we are very much in a space race right now, and the Chinese are moving at incredible speeds, and they are certainly capable of doing…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-07-05:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-07-05:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP