James Comey
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 20 word markets on James Comey’s appearances since 2026, on 10 different words.
History Wall
1–10 of 10, most settled first| Word | May 11interview | May 17latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOJ / FBI | Settled yes: DOJ / FBI, May 11 interview | Settled yes: DOJ / FBI, May 17 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Indict / Indicted / Indictment | Settled yes: Indict / Indicted / Indictment, May 11 interview | Settled yes: Indict / Indicted / Indictment, May 17 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Seashell / Shell | Settled yes: Seashell / Shell, May 11 interview | Settled yes: Seashell / Shell, May 17 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Todd / Blanche | Settled yes: Todd / Blanche, May 11 interview | Settled no: Todd / Blanche, May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Settled yes: Epstein, May 11 interview | Settled no: Epstein, May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times) , May 11 interview | Settled no: Trump (3+ times) , May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 47 / 86-47 | Settled no: 47 / 86-47, May 11 interview | Settled no: 47 / 86-47, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Assassinated / Assassination | Settled no: Assassinated / Assassination, May 11 interview | Settled no: Assassinated / Assassination, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Settled no: China / Chinese, May 11 interview | Settled no: China / Chinese, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Lawfare | Settled no: Lawfare, May 11 interview | Settled no: Lawfare, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will James Comey say during Meet the Press? | no transcript | 11 | 3 yes · 8 no | – |
| May 11, 2026 | InterviewWhat will James Comey say during MS NOW: Deadline White House? | no transcript | 11 | 6 yes · 5 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “James Comey: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-comey (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/james-comey · words: /api/v1/history?entity=james-comey · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP