What is the probability James Comey says “Assassinated / Assassination” next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will James Comey say “Assassinated / Assassination”?

Name: James Comey: “Assassinated / Assassination” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, James Comey did not say “Assassinated / Assassination” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 07:17 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Comey

Assassinated / Assassination

Probability: 40% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Comey yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Comey say during Meet the Press? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will James Comey say during MS NOW: Deadline White House? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 17, 2026	Assassinated / Assassination	Kalshi	No
May 11, 2026	Assassinated / Assassination	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often does James Comey say “Assassinated / Assassination”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, James Comey did not say “Assassinated / Assassination” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026.
What is the probability James Comey says “Assassinated / Assassination” next time?: 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Comey: ‘Assassinated / Assassination’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-comey/words/assassinated-or-assassination (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-comey&word=assassinated%20%2F%20assassination · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-comey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP