James Comey: Interview, May 11, 2026

Mon, May 11InterviewHistory onlyJames Comey

Updated

Markets

10 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
DOJ / FBI Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Indict / Indicted / Indictment Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Seashell / Shell Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Todd / Blanche Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
47 / 86-47 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Assassinated / Assassination No–new new word, no probability yet–
China / Chinese No–new new word, no probability yet–
Lawfare No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP