Meet the Press: Episode, May 17, 2026
Kalshi What will James Comey say during Meet the Press?
Markets
10 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| DOJ / FBI | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Indict / Indicted / Indictment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Seashell / Shell | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Todd / Blanche | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 47 / 86-47 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Assassinated / Assassination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lawfare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26MAY17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP