Will James Comey say “Seashell / Shell”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Comey said “Seashell / Shell” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
James Comey
Seashell / Shell
- Probability
- 57% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Comey yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seashell / Shell |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 11, 2026 | Seashell / Shell | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does James Comey say “Seashell / Shell”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, James Comey said “Seashell / Shell” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 17, 2026.
- What is the probability James Comey says “Seashell / Shell” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Comey: ‘Seashell / Shell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-comey/words/seashell-or-shell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-comey&word=seashell%20%2F%20shell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-comey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP