Will James Comey say “47 / 86-47”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, James Comey did not say “47 / 86-47” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
40%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
James Comey
47 / 86-47
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Comey yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | 47 / 86-47 |  Kalshi | No |
| May 11, 2026 | 47 / 86-47 | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does James Comey say “47 / 86-47”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, James Comey did not say “47 / 86-47” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 11, 2026.
- What is the probability James Comey says “47 / 86-47” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Comey: ‘47 / 86-47’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-comey/words/47-or-86-47 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-comey&word=47%20%2F%2086%2047 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-comey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP