Will Howard Lutnick say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Howard Lutnick said “Tariff” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Howard Lutnick
Tariff
- Probability
- 60% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Howard Lutnick yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Howard Lutnick say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Howard Lutnick said “Tariff” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Howard Lutnick says “Tariff” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Howard Lutnick: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/howard-lutnick/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=howard-lutnick&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=howard-lutnick&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP