Howard Lutnick: Episode, Mar 15, 2025
Kalshi What will Howard Lutnick say on Face the Nation?
Markets
20 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chuck / Schumer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Commerce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Egg | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| J.D. / Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tesla | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tether | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-25MAR15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP