Will Howard Lutnick say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Howard Lutnick said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Howard Lutnick
Manufacture / Manufacturing
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Howard Lutnick yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Manufacture / Manufacturing | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Manufacturing / Manufacture | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Howard Lutnick say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Howard Lutnick said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Howard Lutnick says “Manufacture / Manufacturing” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Howard Lutnick: ‘Manufacture / Manufacturing’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/howard-lutnick/words/manufacture-or-manufacturing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=howard-lutnick&word=manufacture%20%2F%20manufacturing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=howard-lutnick&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP