Will Chris Wright say “Rare Earth”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright did not say “Rare Earth” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chris Wright
Rare Earth
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rare Earth |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Rare Earth”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright did not say “Rare Earth” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Rare Earth” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Rare Earth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/rare-earth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=rare%20earth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP